Primera Nacional · Sunday, 26 Jul 2026
Deportivo Moron
Home
4-0
Full time
Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
Ferro Carril Oeste
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
63%
1.49
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Moron wins
0
Draws
1
Ferro Carril Oeste wins
21 Jun 2026
Ferro Carril Oeste
1 - 0
Deportivo Moron
Why this prediction
11%
Recent form
95%
33%
Attack
50%
44%
Defence
91%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Deportivo Moron
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Ferro Carril Oeste
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Deportivo Moron | Ferro Carril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/4 75% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
Deportivo Moron
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Ferro Carril Oeste
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
75%
Level
25%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ferro Carril Oeste |
35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | +7 | 65 |
| 3 |
Deportivo Moron |
35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | +14 | 58 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Moron face Ferro Carril Oeste in Primera Nacional. Deportivo Moron have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (0.33 points per game). Ferro Carril Oeste have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 6 and conceding 1 (3 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Deportivo Moron won 0, Ferro Carril Oeste won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Deportivo Moron, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Ferro Carril Oeste. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 26 Jul 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano as part of the Primera Nacional.
