Mineiro - 2 · Sunday, 26 Jul 2026
Valeriodoce
Home
0-1
Full time
Estadio Israel Pinheiro - VEC
Villa Nova
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
29%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
33%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Valeriodoce wins
1
Draws
0
Villa Nova wins
18 Jul 2026
Villa Nova
1 - 1
Valeriodoce
12 Jul 2026
Valeriodoce
1 - 0
Villa Nova
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
33%
26%
Attack
60%
93%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
5%
51%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
Valeriodoce
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Villa Nova
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Valeriodoce | Villa Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| 33% 2/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 0% 0/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 0% 0/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 33% 2/6 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 67% 4/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Valeriodoce
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
83%
Behind
0%
Villa Nova
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
57%
Behind
14%
Match Preview & Analysis
Valeriodoce face Villa Nova in Mineiro - 2. Valeriodoce have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 1 (2.2 points per game). Villa Nova have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Valeriodoce won 1, Villa Nova won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 33% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 51% probability backing Valeriodoce, home advantage and superior chance creation make Valeriodoce to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Valeriodoce, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Villa Nova. Our top recommended betting pick is Valeriodoce Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 26 Jul 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Israel Pinheiro - VEC as part of the Mineiro - 2.
