Serie A · Sunday, 26 Jul 2026
Bahia
Home
1-1
Full time
Arena Fonte Nova
Corinthians
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
25%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bahia wins
0
Draws
0
Corinthians wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
44%
Recent form
66%
33%
Attack
66%
66%
Defence
83%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Bahia
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Corinthians
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Bahia | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 1/2 50% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/2 50% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 0/2 0% |
At half time
Bahia
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Corinthians
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Bahia |
34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | +5 | 53 |
| 17 |
Corinthians |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 37 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Bahia face Corinthians in Serie A. Bahia have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 3 (1.33 points per game). Corinthians have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 4 and conceding 1 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 53% probability backing Bahia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bahia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Bahia, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Corinthians. Our top recommended betting pick is Bahia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 26 Jul 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Nova as part of the Serie A.
