Serie B · Sunday, 26 Jul 2026
São Bernardo
Home
3-4
Full time
Estadio Primeiro de Maio
Ceara
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
27%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
35%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
São Bernardo wins
0
Draws
0
Ceara wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
13%
33%
Attack
6%
46%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
16%
Home and away record
São Bernardo
last 3 at home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Ceara
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| São Bernardo | Ceara | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 0% 0/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 4/5 80% |
At half time
São Bernardo
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
50%
Behind
33%
Ceara
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
40%
Behind
60%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
São Bernardo |
37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | +10 | 52 |
| 16 |
Ceara |
37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | -9 | 43 |
Match Preview & Analysis
São Bernardo face Ceara in Serie B. São Bernardo have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (0.4 points per game). Ceara have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 6 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 35% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
With a 57% probability backing São Bernardo, home advantage and superior chance creation make São Bernardo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for São Bernardo, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Ceara. Our top recommended betting pick is São Bernardo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 26 Jul 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Primeiro de Maio as part of the Serie B.
