Primera División - Apertura · Saturday, 01 Aug 2026
Penarol
Home
3-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Cerro Largo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.21 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
63%
Draw
21%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Penarol wins
0
Draws
0
Cerro Largo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
33%
66%
Attack
33%
83%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
63%
Win probability
15%
Match Preview & Analysis
Penarol face Cerro Largo in Primera División - Apertura. Penarol have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 4 and conceding 1 (2 points per game). Cerro Largo have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 63% probability backing Penarol, home advantage and superior chance creation make Penarol to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 63% win probability for Penarol, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Cerro Largo. Our top recommended betting pick is Penarol Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 01 Aug 2026 at 21:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera División - Apertura.
