Serie A · Sunday, 26 Jul 2026
Palmeiras
Home
1-2
Full time
Nubank Parque
Atletico-MG
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.36
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.36 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
69%
Draw
19%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
69%
1.36
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Palmeiras wins
0
Draws
0
Atletico-MG wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
33%
95%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
69%
Win probability
11%
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
1 matches.
| Palmeiras | Atletico-MG | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 1/1 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 100% 1/1 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/1 0% |
| 100% 1/1 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/1 0% |
| 100% 1/1 | Both teams scored | 1/1 100% |
| 0% 0/1 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/1 0% |
| 0% 0/1 | Failed to score | 0/1 0% |
At half time
Palmeiras
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
Atletico-MG
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Palmeiras |
34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | +39 | 73 |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG |
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +4 | 50 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Palmeiras face Atletico-MG in Serie A. Palmeiras have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 games, scoring 3 and conceding 1 (3 points per game). Atletico-MG have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 69% probability backing Palmeiras, home advantage and superior chance creation make Palmeiras to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 69% win probability for Palmeiras, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Atletico-MG. Our top recommended betting pick is Palmeiras Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 26 Jul 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Nubank Parque as part of the Serie A.
