Friendlies Clubs · Tuesday, 28 Jul 2026
Aston Villa
Home
2-4
Full time
Bescot Stadium
Real Sociedad
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
20%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.08
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aston Villa wins
0
Draws
0
Real Sociedad wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
44%
95%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
59%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Aston Villa
last 0 at home
No at home games on record yet.
Real Sociedad
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Aston Villa | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 2/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 100% 2/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 50% 1/2 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 50% 1/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 0% 0/2 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Aston Villa
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
Real Sociedad
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Aston Villa face Real Sociedad in Friendlies Clubs. Aston Villa have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 6 and conceding 2 (1.5 points per game). Real Sociedad have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 3 (1.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 65%.
With a 59% probability backing Aston Villa, home advantage and superior chance creation make Aston Villa to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for Aston Villa, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Real Sociedad. Our top recommended betting pick is Aston Villa Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.08 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 65% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 28 Jul 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Bescot Stadium as part of the Friendlies Clubs.
