Ykkösliiga · Wednesday, 29 Jul 2026
MP
Home
2-1
Full time
Mikkelin Urheilupuisto
KäPa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.13
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.69 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
83%
Draw
10%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
83%
1.13
Double Chance
Home/Draw
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.32
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
MP wins
0
Draws
0
KäPa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
26%
53%
Attack
46%
33%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
83%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
MP
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
KäPa
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| MP | KäPa | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 100% 5/5 | Both teams scored | 4/5 80% |
| 0% 0/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/5 0% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
MP
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
KäPa
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
40%
Behind
60%
Match Preview & Analysis
MP face KäPa in Ykkösliiga. MP have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 10 (1 points per game). KäPa have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 83% probability backing MP, home advantage and superior chance creation make MP to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 83% win probability for MP, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for KäPa. Our top recommended betting pick is MP Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.32 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 29 Jul 2026 at 15:30 (East Africa Time) at Mikkelin Urheilupuisto as part of the Ykkösliiga.
