UEFA Champions League · Wednesday, 29 Jul 2026
Lech Poznan
Home
0-3
Full time
Stadion Poznan
Aarhus
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.16
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.64 - 0.65
Win probability
Home
81%
Draw
11%
Away
7%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
81%
1.16
Double Chance
Home/Draw
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
78%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.29
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Lech Poznan wins
0
Draws
0
Aarhus wins
21 Jul 2026
Aarhus
1 - 4
Lech Poznan
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
46%
93%
Attack
60%
80%
Defence
53%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
81%
Win probability
7%
Home and away record
Lech Poznan
last 4 at home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Aarhus
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Lech Poznan | Aarhus | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Lech Poznan
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
40%
Behind
0%
Aarhus
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
50%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Lech Poznan face Aarhus in UEFA Champions League. Lech Poznan have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game). Aarhus have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Lech Poznan won 1, Aarhus won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 78% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 81% probability backing Lech Poznan, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lech Poznan to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 81% win probability for Lech Poznan, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 7% probability for Aarhus. Our top recommended betting pick is Lech Poznan Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.29 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 29 Jul 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Poznan as part of the UEFA Champions League.
