Serie A · Saturday, 14 Nov 2026
Chapecoense-sc
Home
23:30
d ::
Arena Condá
Vasco DA Gama
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.40
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.31 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
67%
Draw
19%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
67%
1.40
Double Chance
Home/Draw
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chapecoense-sc wins
0
Draws
0
Vasco DA Gama wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
60%
26%
Attack
60%
26%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
67%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
Chapecoense-sc
last 8 at home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.13
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Vasco DA Gama
last 8 away from home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Chapecoense-sc | Vasco DA Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Chapecoense-sc
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
Vasco DA Gama
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Vasco DA Gama |
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 41 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc |
33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -35 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chapecoense-sc face Vasco DA Gama in Serie A. Chapecoense-sc have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game). Vasco DA Gama have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 9 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 67% probability backing Chapecoense-sc, home advantage and superior chance creation make Chapecoense-sc to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 67% win probability for Chapecoense-sc, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Vasco DA Gama. Our top recommended betting pick is Chapecoense-sc Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 14 Nov 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Arena Condá as part of the Serie A.
