USL Championship · Wednesday, 29 Jul 2026
Louisville City
Home
2-1
Full time
Lynn Family Stadium
Birmingham Legion
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
22%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Louisville City wins
0
Draws
0
Birmingham Legion wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
75%
Recent form
41%
58%
Attack
50%
58%
Defence
58%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
58%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
Louisville City
last 3 at home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Birmingham Legion
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Louisville City | Birmingham Legion | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 2/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 4/4 100% |
| 50% 2/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
Louisville City
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
Birmingham Legion
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
75%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Louisville City |
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +6 | 43 |
| 11 |
Birmingham Legion |
28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | -6 | 27 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Louisville City face Birmingham Legion in USL Championship. Louisville City have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (2.25 points per game). Birmingham Legion have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 58% probability backing Louisville City, home advantage and superior chance creation make Louisville City to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for Louisville City, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Birmingham Legion. Our top recommended betting pick is Louisville City Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 29 Jul 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
