Série A · Wednesday, 16 Sep 2026
Botafogo
Home
3-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Grêmio
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
20%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Head-to-head
0
Botafogo wins
0
Draws
0
Grêmio wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
33%
16%
Attack
33%
95%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
58%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Botafogo
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Grêmio
last 0 away from home
No away from home games on record yet.
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
2 matches.
| Botafogo | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|
| 0% 0/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/1 0% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/1 0% |
| 0% 0/2 | Both teams scored | 1/1 100% |
| 100% 2/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/1 0% |
| 50% 1/2 | Failed to score | 0/1 0% |
At half time
Botafogo
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Grêmio
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Botafogo face Grêmio in Série A. Botafogo have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 1 and conceding 0 (2 points per game). Grêmio have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 65%.
With a 58% probability backing Botafogo, home advantage and superior chance creation make Botafogo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for Botafogo, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Grêmio. Our top recommended betting pick is Botafogo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 65% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 16 Sep 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Série A.
