Tasmania Northern Championship · Saturday, 01 Aug 2026
Somerset
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Burnie Utd.
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.02
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.91 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
92%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
92%
1.02
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
83%
1.13
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
83%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.43
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Somerset wins
0
Draws
0
Burnie Utd. wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
46%
91%
Attack
86%
41%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
92%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Somerset
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
3.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Burnie Utd.
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Somerset | Burnie Utd. | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Somerset
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Burnie Utd.
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Somerset face Burnie Utd. in Tasmania Northern Championship. Somerset have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (1.75 points per game). Burnie Utd. have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 18 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 83% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With a 92% probability backing Somerset, home advantage and superior chance creation make Somerset to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 92% win probability for Somerset, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Burnie Utd.. Our top recommended betting pick is Somerset Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.43 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 01 Aug 2026 at 04:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tasmania Northern Championship.
