Europa League Predictions for Thursday 15 October: Previews & Tips
By AfriPredictions · · 9 min read
There are 18 Europa League matches on Thursday 15 October. We have gone through each one, looking at recent form, past meetings and what our prediction model expects, so you can see the reasoning behind every pick. All kick-off times are in Kenya time (EAT).
Picks at a glance
| Match | Kick-off (EAT) | Our free pick |
|---|---|---|
| Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom | 19:45 | Both teams to score: Yes @ 1.40 |
| AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva | 19:45 | Over 2.5 goals @ 1.31 |
| Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen | 19:45 | Both teams to score: Yes @ 1.54 |
| Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad | 19:45 | Both teams to score: Yes @ 1.54 |
| Celje vs Omonia Nicosia | 19:45 | Under 2.5 goals @ 1.36 |
| Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan | 19:45 | Over 1.5 goals @ 1.40 |
| Lyon vs Crystal Palace | 19:45 | Over 1.5 goals @ 1.38 |
| Torreense vs Sunderland | 19:45 | Double chance: Home/Draw @ 1.24 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş | 22:00 | Both teams to score: Yes @ 1.45 |
| Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus | 22:00 | Over 1.5 goals @ 1.24 |
| NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia | 22:00 | Over 1.5 goals @ 1.31 |
| Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia | 22:00 | Over 1.5 goals @ 1.34 |
| Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz | 22:00 | Over 1.5 goals @ 1.42 |
| Celta Vigo vs Juventus | 22:00 | Draw @ 2.29 |
| Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht | 22:00 | Over 1.5 goals @ 1.31 |
| Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen | 22:00 | Under 2.5 goals @ 1.45 |
| Rennes vs OFI | 22:00 | OFI to win @ 1.59 |
| Benfica vs Celtic | 22:00 | Benfica to win @ 1.32 |
Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom
Kick-off: Thursday 15 October, 19:45 EAT · Venue: Stadion Letná · Full match analysis
Sparta Praha's last 5 games read WWWWW (latest last): 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats, with 16 goals scored and 4 conceded. That is strong form. Lillestrom have won 2 of their last 5 matches (WLLWD, latest last), scoring 10 and conceding 8. Goals-wise, Sparta Praha's recent matches have averaged 4.0 goals per game and Lillestrom's 3.6.
| Sparta Praha win | Draw | Lillestrom win |
|---|---|---|
| 27% | 18% | 55% |
Our model makes Lillestrom the favourites at 55% despite playing away, with Sparta Praha on 27% and the draw at 18%.
Our free picks:
- Both teams to score: Yes @ 1.40, our model rates it 67% likely
- Lillestrom to win @ 1.77, our model rates it 53% likely
- Correct score: 1-2 @ 11.75, our model rates it 8% likely
AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Kick-off: Thursday 15 October, 19:45 EAT · Venue: AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar） · Full match analysis
AZ Alkmaar have won 2 of their last 5 matches (WDLWL, latest last), scoring 5 and conceding 6. Hapoel Beer Sheva's last 5 games read LWDWW (latest last): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 6 goals scored and 4 conceded. Goals-wise, AZ Alkmaar's recent matches have averaged 2.2 goals per game and Hapoel Beer Sheva's 2.0.
Our free picks:
- Over 2.5 goals @ 1.31, our model rates it 72% likely
- Over 3.5 goals @ 1.47, our model rates it 64% likely
Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen
Kick-off: Thursday 15 October, 19:45 EAT · Venue: Stadion Miejski · Full match analysis
Lech Poznan's last 5 games read LLWDW (latest last): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 12 goals scored and 10 conceded. Bayer Leverkusen have won 4 of their last 5 matches (WDWWW, latest last), scoring 14 and conceding 5. That is strong form. Goals-wise, Lech Poznan's recent matches have averaged 4.4 goals per game and Bayer Leverkusen's 3.8.
Our free picks:
- Both teams to score: Yes @ 1.54, our model rates it 61% likely
- Correct score: 3-1 @ 10.44, our model rates it 9% likely
Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad
Kick-off: Thursday 15 October, 19:45 EAT · Venue: Den Dreef Stadium · Full match analysis
Union St. Gilloise have won 4 of their last 5 matches (WWWWD, latest last), scoring 14 and conceding 3. That is strong form. Real Sociedad's last 5 games read WLLWW (latest last): 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, with 10 goals scored and 11 conceded. Goals-wise, Union St. Gilloise's recent matches have averaged 3.4 goals per game and Real Sociedad's 4.2.
| Union St. Gilloise win | Draw | Real Sociedad win |
|---|---|---|
| 27% | 21% | 52% |
Our model makes Real Sociedad the favourites at 52% despite playing away, with Union St. Gilloise on 27% and the draw at 21%.
Our free picks:
- Both teams to score: Yes @ 1.54, our model rates it 61% likely
- Real Sociedad to win @ 1.84, our model rates it 51% likely
- Half-time/full-time: Away / Away @ 2.76, our model rates it 34% likely
Celje vs Omonia Nicosia
Kick-off: Thursday 15 October, 19:45 EAT · Venue: Stadion Z’dežele · Full match analysis
Celje's last 5 games read LLLDW (latest last): 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 2 goals scored and 5 conceded. It is a run they will want to turn around. Omonia Nicosia have won 4 of their last 5 matches (WDWWW, latest last), scoring 12 and conceding 2. That is strong form. Goals-wise, Celje's recent matches have averaged 1.4 goals per game and Omonia Nicosia's 2.8.
Our free picks:
- Under 2.5 goals @ 1.36, our model rates it 69% likely
- Half-time/full-time: Draw / Draw @ 3.03, our model rates it 31% likely
Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan
Kick-off: Thursday 15 October, 19:45 EAT · Venue: Red Bull Arena · Full match analysis
Red Bull Salzburg have won 2 of their last 5 matches (DWWLD, latest last), scoring 6 and conceding 3. AC Milan's last 5 games read DDLWD (latest last): 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat, with 7 goals scored and 6 conceded. Goals-wise, Red Bull Salzburg's recent matches have averaged 1.8 goals per game and AC Milan's 2.6.
Our free pick:
- Over 1.5 goals @ 1.40, our model rates it 67% likely
Lyon vs Crystal Palace
Kick-off: Thursday 15 October, 19:45 EAT · Venue: Groupama Stadium · Full match analysis
Lyon's last 5 games read WDWWL (latest last): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 10 goals scored and 4 conceded. Crystal Palace have won 2 of their last 5 matches (LWDLW, latest last), scoring 9 and conceding 6. Goals-wise, Lyon's recent matches have averaged 2.8 goals per game and Crystal Palace's 3.0.
Our free pick:
- Over 1.5 goals @ 1.38, our model rates it 68% likely
Torreense vs Sunderland
Kick-off: Thursday 15 October, 19:45 EAT · Venue: Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa · Full match analysis
Torreense have won 2 of their last 5 matches (LWDWL, latest last), scoring 4 and conceding 5. Sunderland's last 5 games read WLWLL (latest last): 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, with 5 goals scored and 9 conceded. It is a run they will want to turn around. Goals-wise, Torreense's recent matches have averaged 1.8 goals per game and Sunderland's 2.8.
Our free pick:
- Double chance: Home/Draw @ 1.24, our model rates it 76% likely
1899 Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş
Kick-off: Thursday 15 October, 22:00 EAT · Venue: Prezero Arena · Full match analysis
1899 Hoffenheim's last 5 games read LWLLL (latest last): 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats, with 7 goals scored and 12 conceded. It is a run they will want to turn around. Beşiktaş have won 4 of their last 5 matches (WWWLW, latest last), scoring 13 and conceding 6. That is strong form. Goals-wise, 1899 Hoffenheim's recent matches have averaged 3.8 goals per game and Beşiktaş's 3.8.
| 1899 Hoffenheim win | Draw | Beşiktaş win |
|---|---|---|
| 49% | 20% | 31% |
Our model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourites at 49%, with Beşiktaş on 31% and the draw at 20%.
Our free picks:
- Both teams to score: Yes @ 1.45, our model rates it 65% likely
- 1899 Hoffenheim to win @ 1.92, our model rates it 49% likely
- Half-time/full-time: Home / Home @ 2.94, our model rates it 32% likely
Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Kick-off: Thursday 15 October, 22:00 EAT · Venue: Orange Vélodrome · Full match analysis
Marseille have won 1 of their last 5 matches (LLLLW, latest last), scoring 6 and conceding 10. It is a run they will want to turn around. Olympiakos Piraeus' last 5 games read WLWWW (latest last): 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, with 7 goals scored and 4 conceded. That is strong form. Goals-wise, Marseille's recent matches have averaged 3.2 goals per game and Olympiakos Piraeus' 2.2.
| Marseille win | Draw | Olympiakos Piraeus win |
|---|---|---|
| 74% | 14% | 12% |
Our model makes Marseille the favourites at 74%, with Olympiakos Piraeus on 12% and the draw at 14%.
Our free picks:
- Over 1.5 goals @ 1.24, our model rates it 76% likely
- Marseille to win @ 1.49, our model rates it 63% likely
- Half-time/full-time: Home / Home @ 1.96, our model rates it 48% likely
NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia
Kick-off: Thursday 15 October, 22:00 EAT · Venue: Stadion de Goffert · Full match analysis
NEC Nijmegen's last 5 games read DLLDD (latest last): 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats, with 4 goals scored and 12 conceded. Levski Sofia have won 2 of their last 5 matches (WLDLW, latest last), scoring 5 and conceding 5. Goals-wise, NEC Nijmegen's recent matches have averaged 3.2 goals per game and Levski Sofia's 2.0.
Our free picks:
- Over 1.5 goals @ 1.31, our model rates it 72% likely
- Double chance: Draw/Away @ 1.40, our model rates it 67% likely
Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia
Kick-off: Thursday 15 October, 22:00 EAT · Venue: Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku · Full match analysis
Jagiellonia have won 1 of their last 5 matches (LLWLL, latest last), scoring 9 and conceding 10. It is a run they will want to turn around. Ararat-Armenia's last 5 games read WLWWD (latest last): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 12 goals scored and 6 conceded. Goals-wise, Jagiellonia's recent matches have averaged 3.8 goals per game and Ararat-Armenia's 3.6.
Our free pick:
- Over 1.5 goals @ 1.34, our model rates it 70% likely
Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz
Kick-off: Thursday 15 October, 22:00 EAT · Venue: Vitality Stadium · Full match analysis
Bournemouth's last 5 games read WDWLL (latest last): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 9 goals scored and 9 conceded. Sturm Graz have won 3 of their last 5 matches (WDLWW, latest last), scoring 7 and conceding 5. Goals-wise, Bournemouth's recent matches have averaged 3.6 goals per game and Sturm Graz's 2.4.
Our free pick:
- Over 1.5 goals @ 1.42, our model rates it 66% likely
Celta Vigo vs Juventus
Kick-off: Thursday 15 October, 22:00 EAT · Venue: Municipal de Balaídos · Full match analysis
Celta Vigo have won 1 of their last 5 matches (DDLWD, latest last), scoring 7 and conceding 3. Juventus' last 5 games read WWDLD (latest last): 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, with 9 goals scored and 3 conceded. Goals-wise, Celta Vigo's recent matches have averaged 2.0 goals per game and Juventus' 2.4.
| Celta Vigo win | Draw | Juventus win |
|---|---|---|
| 34% | 26% | 40% |
Our model sees very little between the sides: Celta Vigo 34%, Juventus 40%, with the draw at 26%.
Our free picks:
- Draw @ 2.29, our model rates it 41% likely
- Correct score: 1-1 @ 7.83, our model rates it 12% likely
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht
Kick-off: Thursday 15 October, 22:00 EAT · Venue: Stadion Maksimir · Full match analysis
Dinamo Zagreb's last 5 games read LDWWL (latest last): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 10 goals scored and 8 conceded. Anderlecht have won 4 of their last 5 matches (WLWWW, latest last), scoring 10 and conceding 3. That is strong form. Goals-wise, Dinamo Zagreb's recent matches have averaged 3.6 goals per game and Anderlecht's 2.6.
Our free pick:
- Over 1.5 goals @ 1.31, our model rates it 72% likely
Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen
Kick-off: Thursday 15 October, 22:00 EAT · Venue: Groupama Aréna · Full match analysis
Ferencvarosi TC have won 2 of their last 5 matches (DWWDD, latest last), scoring 14 and conceding 5. Plzen's last 5 games read DLLLW (latest last): 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded. It is a run they will want to turn around. Goals-wise, Ferencvarosi TC's recent matches have averaged 3.8 goals per game and Plzen's 2.8.
Our free pick:
- Under 2.5 goals @ 1.45, our model rates it 65% likely
Rennes vs OFI
Kick-off: Thursday 15 October, 22:00 EAT · Venue: Roazhon Park · Full match analysis
Rennes' last 5 games read WDLLW (latest last): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded. OFI have won 3 of their last 5 matches (WWWDL, latest last), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Goals-wise, Rennes' recent matches have averaged 2.2 goals per game and OFI's 2.6.
| Rennes win | Draw | OFI win |
|---|---|---|
| 15% | 19% | 66% |
Our model makes OFI the favourites at 66% despite playing away, with Rennes on 15% and the draw at 19%.
Our free picks:
- OFI to win @ 1.59, our model rates it 59% likely
- Half-time/full-time: Away / Away @ 2.29, our model rates it 41% likely
Benfica vs Celtic
Kick-off: Thursday 15 October, 22:00 EAT · Venue: Estádio da Luz · Full match analysis
Benfica have won 4 of their last 5 matches (WWWLW, latest last), scoring 12 and conceding 4. That is strong form. Celtic's last 5 games read WLLLW (latest last): 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, with 4 goals scored and 7 conceded. It is a run they will want to turn around. Goals-wise, Benfica's recent matches have averaged 3.2 goals per game and Celtic's 2.2.
| Benfica win | Draw | Celtic win |
|---|---|---|
| 88% | 6% | 3% |
Our model makes Benfica the favourites at 88%, with Celtic on 3% and the draw at 6%.
Our free pick:
- Benfica to win @ 1.32, our model rates it 71% likely
Before you bet
These previews come from match data and our prediction model. Kick-off times can change, so check the match page on the day. 18+ only: please bet responsibly and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. T&Cs apply.
More from AfriPredictions: today's predictions · Europa League predictions and fixtures · our recent winning picks.
