La Liga Predictions for Saturday 10 October: Previews & Tips

There are 4 La Liga matches on Saturday 10 October. We have gone through each one, looking at recent form, past meetings and what our prediction model expects, so you can see the reasoning behind every pick. All kick-off times are in Kenya time (EAT).

Picks at a glance

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club

Kick-off: Saturday 10 October, 15:00 EAT · Venue: Estadio de Vallecas · Full match analysis

Rayo Vallecano have won 2 of their last 5 matches (DWLWD, latest last), scoring 8 and conceding 9. Athletic Club's last 5 games read WDDLL (latest last): 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 5 goals scored and 5 conceded. Goals-wise, Rayo Vallecano's recent matches have averaged 3.4 goals per game and Athletic Club's 2.0.

Our model makes Rayo Vallecano the favourites at 57%, with Athletic Club on 19% and the draw at 24%.

Our free picks:

• Double chance: Home/Draw @ 1.18, our model rates it 80% likely
• Over 1.5 goals @ 1.47, our model rates it 64% likely
• Rayo Vallecano to win @ 1.74, our model rates it 54% likely

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid

Kick-off: Saturday 10 October, 17:15 EAT · Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza · Full match analysis

Alaves' last 5 games read DWLLD (latest last): 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 7 goals scored and 6 conceded. Atletico Madrid have won 2 of their last 5 matches (DLLWW, latest last), scoring 8 and conceding 8. Goals-wise, Alaves' recent matches have averaged 2.6 goals per game and Atletico Madrid's 3.2.

Our model makes Atletico Madrid the favourites at 49% despite playing away, with Alaves on 28% and the draw at 24%.

Our free picks:

• Double chance: Draw/Away @ 1.29, our model rates it 73% likely
• Over 1.5 goals @ 1.36, our model rates it 69% likely
• Atletico Madrid to win @ 1.92, our model rates it 49% likely

Barcelona vs Getafe

Kick-off: Saturday 10 October, 19:30 EAT · Venue: Spotify Camp Nou · Full match analysis

Barcelona have won 5 of their last 5 matches (WWWWW, latest last), scoring 22 and conceding 4. That is strong form. Getafe's last 5 games read WDDLW (latest last): 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, with 4 goals scored and 3 conceded. Goals-wise, Barcelona's recent matches have averaged 5.2 goals per game and Getafe's 1.4.

Our model makes Barcelona the favourites at 79%, with Getafe on 7% and the draw at 14%.

Our free picks:

• Over 1.5 goals @ 1.36, our model rates it 69% likely
• Barcelona to win @ 1.42, our model rates it 66% likely
• Half-time/full-time: Home / Home @ 1.92, our model rates it 49% likely

Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Kick-off: Saturday 10 October, 22:00 EAT · Venue: Santiago Bernabéu Stadium · Full match analysis

Real Madrid's last 5 games read LWWWL (latest last): 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, with 10 goals scored and 7 conceded. Villarreal have won 2 of their last 5 matches (LLLWW, latest last), scoring 11 and conceding 10. It is a run they will want to turn around. Goals-wise, Real Madrid's recent matches have averaged 3.4 goals per game and Villarreal's 4.2.

Our model makes Real Madrid the favourites at 66%, with Villarreal on 16% and the draw at 18%.

Our free picks:

• Over 1.5 goals @ 1.27, our model rates it 74% likely
• Over 2.5 goals @ 1.47, our model rates it 64% likely
• Real Madrid to win @ 1.59, our model rates it 59% likely

Before you bet

These previews come from match data and our prediction model. Kick-off times can change, so check the match page on the day. 18+ only: please bet responsibly and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. T&Cs apply.

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