Premier League Predictions for Saturday 10 October: Previews & Tips
By AfriPredictions · · 4 min read
There are 6 Premier League matches on Saturday 10 October. We have gone through each one, looking at recent form, past meetings and what our prediction model expects, so you can see the reasoning behind every pick. All kick-off times are in Kenya time (EAT).
Picks at a glance
| Match | Kick-off (EAT) | Our free pick |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal vs Leeds | 14:30 | Over 1.5 goals @ 1.29 |
| Chelsea vs Bournemouth | 17:00 | Over 1.5 goals @ 1.31 |
| Ipswich vs Fulham | 17:00 | Double chance: Home/Draw @ 1.31 |
| Sunderland vs Brighton | 17:00 | Double chance: Home/Draw @ 1.40 |
| Manchester United vs Tottenham | 19:30 | Over 1.5 goals @ 1.25 |
| Aston Villa vs Brentford FC | 20:00 | Brentford FC to win @ 1.81 |
Arsenal vs Leeds
Kick-off: Saturday 10 October, 14:30 EAT · Venue: Emirates Stadium · Full match analysis
Arsenal have won 2 of their last 5 matches (WWLLD, latest last), scoring 7 and conceding 10. Leeds' last 5 games read WDLWD (latest last): 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, with 10 goals scored and 8 conceded. Goals-wise, Arsenal's recent matches have averaged 3.4 goals per game and Leeds' 3.6.
| Arsenal win | Draw | Leeds win |
|---|---|---|
| 84% | 11% | 5% |
Our model makes Arsenal the favourites at 84%, with Leeds on 5% and the draw at 11%.
Our free picks:
- Over 1.5 goals @ 1.29, our model rates it 73% likely
- Arsenal to win @ 1.36, our model rates it 69% likely
- Over 2.5 goals @ 1.49, our model rates it 63% likely
Chelsea vs Bournemouth
Kick-off: Saturday 10 October, 17:00 EAT · Venue: Stamford Bridge · Full match analysis
Chelsea's last 5 games read WLWDL (latest last): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 12 goals scored and 12 conceded. Bournemouth have won 2 of their last 5 matches (DWDWL, latest last), scoring 10 and conceding 6. Goals-wise, Chelsea's recent matches have averaged 4.8 goals per game and Bournemouth's 3.2.
| Chelsea win | Draw | Bournemouth win |
|---|---|---|
| 47% | 22% | 31% |
Our model makes Chelsea the favourites at 47%, with Bournemouth on 31% and the draw at 22%.
Our free picks:
- Over 1.5 goals @ 1.31, our model rates it 72% likely
- Double chance: Home/Draw @ 1.36, our model rates it 69% likely
- Over 2.5 goals @ 1.54, our model rates it 61% likely
Ipswich vs Fulham
Kick-off: Saturday 10 October, 17:00 EAT · Venue: Portman Road Stadium · Full match analysis
Ipswich have won 2 of their last 5 matches (WLWLL, latest last), scoring 8 and conceding 10. It is a run they will want to turn around. Fulham's last 5 games read LLDWD (latest last): 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 8 goals scored and 9 conceded. Goals-wise, Ipswich's recent matches have averaged 3.6 goals per game and Fulham's 3.4.
| Ipswich win | Draw | Fulham win |
|---|---|---|
| 49% | 23% | 28% |
Our model makes Ipswich the favourites at 49%, with Fulham on 28% and the draw at 23%.
Our free picks:
- Double chance: Home/Draw @ 1.31, our model rates it 72% likely
- Over 1.5 goals @ 1.36, our model rates it 69% likely
- Ipswich to win @ 1.92, our model rates it 49% likely
Sunderland vs Brighton
Kick-off: Saturday 10 October, 17:00 EAT · Venue: Stadium of Light · Full match analysis
Sunderland's last 5 games read LDWLL (latest last): 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 6 goals scored and 10 conceded. It is a run they will want to turn around. Brighton have won 3 of their last 5 matches (DWDWW, latest last), scoring 13 and conceding 1. Goals-wise, Sunderland's recent matches have averaged 3.2 goals per game and Brighton's 2.8.
| Sunderland win | Draw | Brighton win |
|---|---|---|
| 39% | 27% | 34% |
Our model sees very little between the sides: Sunderland 39%, Brighton 34%, with the draw at 27%.
Our free picks:
- Double chance: Home/Draw @ 1.40, our model rates it 67% likely
- Over 1.5 goals @ 1.49, our model rates it 63% likely
- Draw @ 2.29, our model rates it 41% likely
Manchester United vs Tottenham
Kick-off: Saturday 10 October, 19:30 EAT · Venue: Old Trafford · Full match analysis
Manchester United have won 1 of their last 5 matches (LDWLD, latest last), scoring 7 and conceding 6. Tottenham's last 5 games read LDDLL (latest last): 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats, with 3 goals scored and 9 conceded. It is a run they will want to turn around. Goals-wise, Manchester United's recent matches have averaged 2.6 goals per game and Tottenham's 2.4.
| Manchester United win | Draw | Tottenham win |
|---|---|---|
| 71% | 15% | 14% |
Our model makes Manchester United the favourites at 71%, with Tottenham on 14% and the draw at 15%.
Our free picks:
- Over 1.5 goals @ 1.25, our model rates it 75% likely
- Over 2.5 goals @ 1.40, our model rates it 67% likely
- Manchester United to win @ 1.52, our model rates it 62% likely
Aston Villa vs Brentford FC
Kick-off: Saturday 10 October, 20:00 EAT · Full match analysis
Aston Villa's last 5 games read DWLWW (latest last): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 10 goals scored and 7 conceded.
| Aston Villa win | Draw | Brentford FC win |
|---|---|---|
| 23% | 24% | 53% |
Our model makes Brentford FC the favourites at 53% despite playing away, with Aston Villa on 23% and the draw at 24%.
Our free picks:
- Brentford FC to win @ 1.81, our model rates it 52% likely
- Correct score: 1-1 @ 8.55, our model rates it 11% likely
Before you bet
These previews come from match data and our prediction model. Kick-off times can change, so check the match page on the day. 18+ only: please bet responsibly and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. T&Cs apply.
More from AfriPredictions: today's predictions · Premier League predictions and fixtures · our recent winning picks.
