Esiliiga A · Saturday, 01 Aug 2026
Nõmme Kalju II
Home
1-4
Full time
Hiiu Stadium
Maardu
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
20%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
76%
1.24
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
78%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Nõmme Kalju II wins
0
Draws
0
Maardu wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
16%
Recent form
75%
41%
Attack
66%
8%
Defence
8%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
32%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Maa Maardu | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -14 | 32 |
| 10 | Nõm Nõmme Kalju II | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -29 | 19 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Nõmme Kalju II face Maardu in Esiliiga A. Nõmme Kalju II have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 11 (0.5 points per game). Maardu have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 8 and conceding 11 (2.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 78% and Both Teams to Score at 76%.
With a 48% probability backing Nõmme Kalju II, home advantage and superior chance creation make Nõmme Kalju II to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Nõmme Kalju II, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Maardu. Our top recommended betting pick is Nõmme Kalju II Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 76% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 01 Aug 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium as part of the Esiliiga A.
