Primera Nacional · Saturday, 01 Aug 2026
Patronato
Home
3-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Quilmes
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
18%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Patronato wins
0
Draws
0
Quilmes wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
22%
Recent form
50%
22%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Qui Quilmes | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | +5 | 32 |
| 17 | Pat Patronato | 25 | 4 | 13 | 8 | -8 | 25 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Patronato face Quilmes in Primera Nacional. Patronato have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3 (0.67 points per game). Quilmes have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 2 and conceding 2 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 18% and Both Teams to Score at 26%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Patronato, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Quilmes. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 26%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 01 Aug 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera Nacional.
