League Cup · Saturday, 08 Aug 2026
Derby
Home
1-2
Full time
Pride Park
Lincoln
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.4 - 0.65
Win probability
Home
71%
Draw
22%
Away
7%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
Home/Draw
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
76%
1.24
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
33%
Over 2.5
24%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Derby wins
0
Draws
0
Lincoln wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
40%
50%
Attack
20%
75%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
71%
Win probability
7%
Match Preview & Analysis
Derby face Lincoln in League Cup. Derby have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (1.75 points per game). Lincoln have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 33% and Both Teams to Score at 24%.
With a 71% probability backing Derby, home advantage and superior chance creation make Derby to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 71% win probability for Derby, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 7% probability for Lincoln. Our top recommended betting pick is Derby Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 24%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 08 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Pride Park as part of the League Cup.
