Primera Nacional · Sunday, 09 Aug 2026
Quilmes
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes
Almagro
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
28%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
33%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.89
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Quilmes wins
0
Draws
0
Almagro wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
46%
46%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Quilmes
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Almagro
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Quilmes | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Quilmes
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
80%
Behind
20%
Almagro
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Quilmes |
35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | +2 | 42 |
| 14 |
Almagro |
35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Quilmes face Almagro in Primera Nacional. Quilmes have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game). Almagro have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 33% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 53% probability backing Quilmes, home advantage and superior chance creation make Quilmes to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Quilmes, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Almagro. Our top recommended betting pick is Quilmes Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.89 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 09 Aug 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes as part of the Primera Nacional.
