2. Bundesliga · Sunday, 09 Aug 2026
FC St. Pauli
Home
1-1
Full time
Millerntor-Stadion
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.13
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.84 - 2.33
Win probability
Home
6%
Draw
11%
Away
83%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
83%
1.13
Double Chance
Draw/Away
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72%
1.31
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
72%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FC St. Pauli wins
0
Draws
0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
75%
80%
Attack
75%
40%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
6%
Win probability
83%
Home and away record
FC St. Pauli
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
last 4 away from home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
2.25
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| FC St. Pauli | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 100% 5/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 100% 5/5 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 0% 0/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
FC St. Pauli
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
FC St. Pauli face SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 2. Bundesliga. FC St. Pauli have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 9 (2 points per game). SpVgg Greuther Fürth have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (2.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 72% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 83% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for SpVgg Greuther Fürth to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 6% win probability for FC St. Pauli, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 83% probability for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Our top recommended betting pick is SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 09 Aug 2026 at 11:30 (East Africa Time) at Millerntor-Stadion as part of the 2. Bundesliga.
