Primera División · Sunday, 09 Aug 2026
Deportivo Garcilaso
Home
2-0
Full time
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
UCV Moquegua
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.18 - 1.53
Win probability
Home
20%
Draw
32%
Away
47%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Draw/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
25%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.71
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Garcilaso wins
1
Draws
0
UCV Moquegua wins
12 Jul 2026
UCV Moquegua
0 - 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
50%
16%
Attack
41%
75%
Defence
66%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
20%
Win probability
47%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dep Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 15 | UCV UCV Moquegua | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Garcilaso face UCV Moquegua in Primera División. Deportivo Garcilaso have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3 (1 points per game). UCV Moquegua have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.5 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0, UCV Moquegua won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 25% and Both Teams to Score at 31%.
UCV Moquegua's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 47% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for UCV Moquegua to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 20% win probability for Deportivo Garcilaso, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 47% probability for UCV Moquegua. Our top recommended betting pick is UCV Moquegua Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.71 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 31%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 09 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega as part of the Primera División.
