Primera División · Sunday, 09 Aug 2026
FBC Melgar
Home
2-4
Full time
Estadio de la UNSA
FC Cajamarca
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.24
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.52 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
76%
1.24
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.24
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FBC Melgar wins
0
Draws
0
FC Cajamarca wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
16%
50%
Attack
33%
83%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
76%
Win probability
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FBC FBC Melgar | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 14 | FC FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
FBC Melgar face FC Cajamarca in Primera División. FBC Melgar have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 3 and conceding 1 (2 points per game). FC Cajamarca have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 2 and conceding 4 (0.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 76% probability backing FBC Melgar, home advantage and superior chance creation make FBC Melgar to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 76% win probability for FBC Melgar, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for FC Cajamarca. Our top recommended betting pick is FBC Melgar Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.24 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 09 Aug 2026 at 20:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio de la UNSA as part of the Primera División.
