Challenge Cup · Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026
Alloa Athletic
Home
2-1
Full time
Recreation Park
Stranraer
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.12
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.72 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
84%
Draw
11%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
84%
1.12
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.33
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alloa Athletic wins
1
Draws
0
Stranraer wins
18 Jul 2026
Alloa Athletic
2 - 2
Stranraer
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
6%
26%
Attack
20%
46%
Defence
26%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
84%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Alloa Athletic
last 5 at home
1W
3D
1L
1.20
points a game
1.60
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Stranraer
last 4 away from home
0W
2D
2L
0.50
points a game
0.75
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Alloa Athletic | Stranraer | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 50% 4/8 | Failed to score | 4/8 50% |
At half time
Alloa Athletic
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
13%
Behind
75%
Stranraer
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
25%
Behind
38%
Match Preview & Analysis
Alloa Athletic face Stranraer in Challenge Cup. Alloa Athletic have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game). Stranraer have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 11 (0.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Alloa Athletic won 0, Stranraer won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 84% probability backing Alloa Athletic, home advantage and superior chance creation make Alloa Athletic to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 84% win probability for Alloa Athletic, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Stranraer. Our top recommended betting pick is Alloa Athletic Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.33 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Recreation Park as part of the Challenge Cup.
