Challenge Cup · Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026
Dumbarton
Home
1-3
Full time
Dumbarton Football Stadium
Airdrie United
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.47
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.11 - 1.91
Win probability
Home
17%
Draw
18%
Away
64%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
64%
1.47
Double Chance
Draw/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
71%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Dumbarton wins
0
Draws
0
Airdrie United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
33%
46%
Attack
26%
26%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
17%
Win probability
64%
Home and away record
Dumbarton
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Airdrie United
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Dumbarton | Airdrie United | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/9 11% |
| 29% 2/7 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 43% 3/7 | Failed to score | 3/9 33% |
At half time
Dumbarton
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
14%
Behind
71%
Airdrie United
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
56%
Behind
11%
Match Preview & Analysis
Dumbarton face Airdrie United in Challenge Cup. Dumbarton have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 11 (1.2 points per game). Airdrie United have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 71% and Both Teams to Score at 65%.
Airdrie United's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 64% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Airdrie United to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 17% win probability for Dumbarton, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 64% probability for Airdrie United. Our top recommended betting pick is Airdrie United Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 65% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Dumbarton Football Stadium as part of the Challenge Cup.
