Challenge Cup · Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026
Edinburgh City
Home
3-1
Full time
Meadowbank Sports Centre
Cowdenbeath
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
29%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
37%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.85
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Edinburgh City wins
0
Draws
0
Cowdenbeath wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
5%
40%
Attack
16%
40%
Defence
41%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
25%
Home and away record
Edinburgh City
last 4 at home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.75
scored a game
2.75
conceded a game
Cowdenbeath
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Edinburgh City | Cowdenbeath | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 9/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 33% 3/9 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 44% 4/9 | Failed to score | 3/4 75% |
At half time
Edinburgh City
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
22%
Behind
44%
Cowdenbeath
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Edinburgh City face Cowdenbeath in Challenge Cup. Edinburgh City have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game). Cowdenbeath have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 4 games, scoring 2 and conceding 7 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 37% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 46% probability backing Edinburgh City, home advantage and superior chance creation make Edinburgh City to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Edinburgh City, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Cowdenbeath. Our top recommended betting pick is Edinburgh City Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.85 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Meadowbank Sports Centre as part of the Challenge Cup.
