2. Bundesliga · Friday, 14 Aug 2026
Holstein Kiel
Home
2-2
Full time
Holstein-Stadion
FC St. Pauli
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.11
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.74 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
85%
Draw
8%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
85%
1.11
Double Chance
Home/Draw
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
83%
1.13
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
83%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Holstein Kiel wins
0
Draws
0
FC St. Pauli wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
53%
60%
Attack
66%
26%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
85%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Holstein Kiel
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
FC St. Pauli
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.67
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Holstein Kiel | FC St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 7/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 100% 7/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 86% 6/7 | Both teams scored | 6/6 100% |
| 0% 0/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/6 0% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Holstein Kiel
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
14%
Behind
57%
FC St. Pauli
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
Match Preview & Analysis
Holstein Kiel face FC St. Pauli in 2. Bundesliga. Holstein Kiel have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 11 (1 points per game). FC St. Pauli have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 9 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 83% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 85% probability backing Holstein Kiel, home advantage and superior chance creation make Holstein Kiel to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 85% win probability for Holstein Kiel, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for FC St. Pauli. Our top recommended betting pick is Holstein Kiel Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 14 Aug 2026 at 16:30 (East Africa Time) at Holstein-Stadion as part of the 2. Bundesliga.
