National 1 · Friday, 14 Aug 2026
Thionville Lusitanos
Home
4-3
Full time
Stadium Plaine
Caen
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.15
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.67 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
82%
Draw
8%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
82%
1.15
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
89%
1.06
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
71%
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
89%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Thionville Lusitanos wins
0
Draws
0
Caen wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
77%
Recent form
66%
95%
Attack
93%
77%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
82%
Win probability
6%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cae Caen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 | Thi Thionville Lusitanos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Thionville Lusitanos face Caen in National 1. Thionville Lusitanos have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 10 and conceding 2 (2.33 points per game). Caen have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 8 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 89% and Both Teams to Score at 71%.
With a 82% probability backing Thionville Lusitanos, home advantage and superior chance creation make Thionville Lusitanos to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 82% win probability for Thionville Lusitanos, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Caen. Our top recommended betting pick is Thionville Lusitanos Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 71% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 14 Aug 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadium Plaine as part of the National 1.
