Championship · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Charlton
Home
2-1
Full time
The Valley
Derby
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
24%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Charlton wins
0
Draws
0
Derby wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
46%
41%
Attack
46%
58%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
25%
Team news
Charlton
- K. Ramsay · Ankle Injury
- M. Godden · Muscle Injury
- B. Koumetio · Muscle Injury
- W. Mannion · Shoulder Injury
- C. Sichenje · Knee Injury
- N. Chalobah · Muscle Injury
- J. Edwards · Ankle Injury
- C. Kelman · Shoulder Injury
Derby
- P. Agyemang · Achilles Tendon Injury
- M. Clarke · Calf Injury
- D. Murkin · Hamstring Injury
- C. Forsyth · Knee Injury
- F. Bilbija · Back Injury
- H. Meister · Concussion
- J. Widell Zetterstrom · Knee Injury
- L. Travis · Leg Injury
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Match Preview & Analysis
Charlton face Derby in Championship. Charlton have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.75 points per game). Derby have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 50% probability backing Charlton, home advantage and superior chance creation make Charlton to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Charlton, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Derby. Our top recommended betting pick is Charlton Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at The Valley as part of the Championship.
