National League - North · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Spennymoor Town
Home
2-1
Full time
The Brewery Field
Merthyr Town
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.42 - 1.6
Win probability
Home
30%
Draw
20%
Away
50%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
77%
1.22
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
75%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
77%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Spennymoor Town wins
0
Draws
0
Merthyr Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
44%
Recent form
46%
44%
Attack
53%
55%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
30%
Win probability
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mer Merthyr Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 17 | Spe Spennymoor Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Spennymoor Town face Merthyr Town in National League - North. Spennymoor Town have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.33 points per game). Merthyr Town have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 77% and Both Teams to Score at 75%.
Merthyr Town's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 50% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Merthyr Town to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 30% win probability for Spennymoor Town, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 50% probability for Merthyr Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Merthyr Town Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 75% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at The Brewery Field as part of the National League - North.
