Primera Nacional · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Deportivo Moron
Home
2-0
Full time
Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
Almagro
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.45 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
73%
Draw
16%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73%
1.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Moron wins
0
Draws
0
Almagro wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
33%
46%
Attack
20%
46%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
73%
Win probability
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dep Deportivo Moron | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +17 | 45 |
| 13 | Alm Almagro | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -8 | 31 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Moron face Almagro in Primera Nacional. Deportivo Moron have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game). Almagro have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 73% probability backing Deportivo Moron, home advantage and superior chance creation make Deportivo Moron to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 73% win probability for Deportivo Moron, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Almagro. Our top recommended betting pick is Deportivo Moron Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano as part of the Primera Nacional.
