Major League Soccer · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
San Jose Earthquakes
Home
1-3
Full time
PayPal Park
St. Louis City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
19%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
77%
1.22
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
77%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
San Jose Earthquakes wins
0
Draws
0
St. Louis City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
66%
50%
Attack
66%
5%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
24%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | San San Jose Earthquakes | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | +6 | 33 |
| 6 | St. St. Louis City | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +3 | 33 |
Match Preview & Analysis
San Jose Earthquakes face St. Louis City in Major League Soccer. San Jose Earthquakes have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (0 points per game). St. Louis City have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 77% and Both Teams to Score at 72%.
With a 57% probability backing San Jose Earthquakes, home advantage and superior chance creation make San Jose Earthquakes to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for San Jose Earthquakes, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for St. Louis City. Our top recommended betting pick is San Jose Earthquakes Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 72% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 02:30 (East Africa Time) at PayPal Park as part of the Major League Soccer.
