Primeira Liga · Sunday, 16 Aug 2026
Nacional
Home
2-0
Full time
Estádio da Madeira
Estoril
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 1.12
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
23%
Away
28%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Nacional wins
0
Draws
0
Estoril wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
25%
Recent form
55%
58%
Attack
55%
33%
Defence
77%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
28%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nac Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 15 | Est Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Nacional face Estoril in Primeira Liga. Nacional have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (0.75 points per game). Estoril have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 2 (1.67 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 49% probability backing Nacional, home advantage and superior chance creation make Nacional to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Nacional, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 28% probability for Estoril. Our top recommended betting pick is Nacional Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 16 Aug 2026 at 14:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio da Madeira as part of the Primeira Liga.
