Serie C · Monday, 17 Aug 2026
Ferroviária
Home
4-0
Full time
Arena Fonte Luminosa
Paysandu
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
24%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ferroviária wins
0
Draws
0
Paysandu wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
60%
58%
Attack
46%
66%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
23%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pay Paysandu | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 29 |
| 7 | Fer Ferroviária | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | +7 | 27 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ferroviária face Paysandu in Serie C. Ferroviária have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (1.75 points per game). Paysandu have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 53% probability backing Ferroviária, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ferroviária to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Ferroviária, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Paysandu. Our top recommended betting pick is Ferroviária Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 17 Aug 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Luminosa as part of the Serie C.
