I Liga · Friday, 21 Aug 2026
Lechia Gdansk
Home
1-0
Full time
Polsat Plus Arena
Pogoń Siedlce
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.32 - 1.67
Win probability
Home
26%
Draw
21%
Away
53%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lechia Gdansk wins
0
Draws
0
Pogoń Siedlce wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
53%
33%
Attack
53%
26%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
26%
Win probability
53%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pog Pogoń Siedlce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 18 | Lec Lechia Gdansk | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 1 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Lechia Gdansk face Pogoń Siedlce in I Liga. Lechia Gdansk have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 11 (0.4 points per game). Pogoń Siedlce have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
Pogoń Siedlce's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 53% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Pogoń Siedlce to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 26% win probability for Lechia Gdansk, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 53% probability for Pogoń Siedlce. Our top recommended betting pick is Pogoń Siedlce Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 21 Aug 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Polsat Plus Arena as part of the I Liga.
