Ligue 1 · Friday, 21 Aug 2026
Marseille
Home
4-0
Full time
CEPAC Vélodrome
Strasbourg
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
20%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Marseille wins
0
Draws
0
Strasbourg wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
6%
66%
Attack
40%
55%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
26%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 18 | Str Strasbourg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Marseille face Strasbourg in Ligue 1. Marseille have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Strasbourg have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 19 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 72%.
With a 54% probability backing Marseille, home advantage and superior chance creation make Marseille to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Marseille, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Strasbourg. Our top recommended betting pick is Marseille Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 72% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 21 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at CEPAC Vélodrome as part of the Ligue 1.
