UEFA Europa League · Thursday, 20 Aug 2026
Benfica
Home
3-1
Full time
Estádio da Luz
Aarhus
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.47
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.24 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
64%
Draw
19%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
64%
1.47
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.14
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Benfica v Aarhus pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Benfica wins
0
Draws
0
Aarhus wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
26%
95%
Attack
40%
73%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
64%
Win probability
18%
Match Preview & Analysis
Benfica face Aarhus in UEFA Europa League. Benfica have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 21 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game). Aarhus have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 13 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
With a 64% probability backing Benfica, home advantage and superior chance creation make Benfica to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 64% win probability for Benfica, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Aarhus. Our top recommended betting pick is Benfica Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.14 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 20 Aug 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estádio da Luz as part of the UEFA Europa League.
