National League · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Carlisle
Home
4-1
Full time
Brunton Park
AFC Hornchurch
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.25 - 1.73
Win probability
Home
23%
Draw
20%
Away
56%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Draw/Away
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Carlisle wins
0
Draws
0
AFC Hornchurch wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
80%
83%
Attack
66%
50%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
23%
Win probability
56%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | AFC AFC Hornchurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 12 | Car Carlisle | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Carlisle face AFC Hornchurch in National League. Carlisle have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6 (1.75 points per game). AFC Hornchurch have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
AFC Hornchurch's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 56% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for AFC Hornchurch to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 23% win probability for Carlisle, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 56% probability for AFC Hornchurch. Our top recommended betting pick is AFC Hornchurch Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 11:30 (East Africa Time) at Brunton Park as part of the National League.
