League One · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Stevenage
Home
1-2
Full time
Lamex Stadium
Oxford United
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
32%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
26%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.77
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Stevenage wins
0
Draws
0
Oxford United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
58%
33%
Attack
58%
83%
Defence
58%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
23%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Oxf Oxford United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 19 | Ste Stevenage | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Stevenage face Oxford United in League One. Stevenage have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 2 (2 points per game). Oxford United have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 26% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
With a 44% probability backing Stevenage, home advantage and superior chance creation make Stevenage to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Stevenage, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Oxford United. Our top recommended betting pick is Stevenage Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.77 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Lamex Stadium as part of the League One.
