National League - North · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
South Shields
Home
1-1
Full time
Mariners Park
Merthyr Town
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.27
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.48 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
74%
Draw
17%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
74%
1.27
Double Chance
Home/Draw
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
South Shields wins
0
Draws
0
Merthyr Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
40%
Attack
53%
73%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
74%
Win probability
9%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sou South Shields | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 12 | Mer Merthyr Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
Match Preview & Analysis
South Shields face Merthyr Town in National League - North. South Shields have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Merthyr Town have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 74% probability backing South Shields, home advantage and superior chance creation make South Shields to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 74% win probability for South Shields, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Merthyr Town. Our top recommended betting pick is South Shields Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Mariners Park as part of the National League - North.
