Esiliiga A · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Nõmme Kalju II
Home
2-4
Full time
Hiiu Stadium
Tartu Welco
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.13
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.84 - 2.33
Win probability
Home
6%
Draw
9%
Away
83%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
83%
1.13
Double Chance
Draw/Away
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
85%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Nõmme Kalju II wins
0
Draws
0
Tartu Welco wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
60%
6%
Attack
95%
6%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
6%
Win probability
83%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tar Tartu Welco | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | +35 | 48 |
| 10 | Nõm Nõmme Kalju II | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -29 | 19 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Nõmme Kalju II face Tartu Welco in Esiliiga A. Nõmme Kalju II have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 14 (0 points per game). Tartu Welco have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 85% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
Tartu Welco's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 83% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Tartu Welco to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 6% win probability for Nõmme Kalju II, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 83% probability for Tartu Welco. Our top recommended betting pick is Tartu Welco Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium as part of the Esiliiga A.
