Premier League · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Newcastle
Home
2-2
Full time
St James' Park
Liverpool
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.25
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
22%
Away
34%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
66%
1.42
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Newcastle wins
0
Draws
0
Liverpool wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
11%
53%
Attack
44%
53%
Defence
22%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
34%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Liv Liverpool | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | New Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Newcastle face Liverpool in Premier League. Newcastle have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game). Liverpool have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (0.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
With a 44% probability backing Newcastle, home advantage and superior chance creation make Newcastle to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Newcastle, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 34% probability for Liverpool. Our top recommended betting pick is Newcastle Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 15:30 (East Africa Time) at St James' Park as part of the Premier League.
