Primeira Liga · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
FC Porto
Home
2-0
Full time
Estádio do Dragão
Arouca
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.04
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.86 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
90%
Draw
6%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
90%
1.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
80%
1.18
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
80%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FC Porto wins
0
Draws
0
Arouca wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
66%
55%
Attack
53%
95%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
90%
Win probability
5%
Match Preview & Analysis
FC Porto face Arouca in Primeira Liga. FC Porto have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 0 (3 points per game). Arouca have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 2 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 80% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 90% probability backing FC Porto, home advantage and superior chance creation make FC Porto to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 90% win probability for FC Porto, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Arouca. Our top recommended betting pick is FC Porto Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio do Dragão as part of the Primeira Liga.
