Primera Division · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Jalapa
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Matagalpa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
20%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Jalapa wins
0
Draws
1
Matagalpa wins
13 Jul 2026
Jalapa
3 - 2
Matagalpa
05 Jul 2026
Matagalpa
3 - 1
Jalapa
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
20%
33%
Attack
26%
60%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
59%
Win probability
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Jalapa face Matagalpa in Primera Division. Jalapa have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Matagalpa have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 13 (0.6 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Jalapa won 1, Matagalpa won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 59% probability backing Jalapa, home advantage and superior chance creation make Jalapa to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for Jalapa, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Matagalpa. Our top recommended betting pick is Jalapa Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 21:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera Division.
