Primera División · Thursday, 27 Aug 2026
Independiente Petrolero
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Guabirá
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 1.12
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
19%
Away
28%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
75%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
78%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Independiente Petrolero wins
0
Draws
0
Guabirá wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
86%
60%
Attack
66%
53%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
28%
Home and away record
Independiente Petrolero
last 5 at home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
1.80
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Guabirá
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Independiente Petrolero | Guabirá | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/8 63% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Independiente Petrolero
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Guabirá
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
50%
Behind
13%
Match Preview & Analysis
Independiente Petrolero face Guabirá in Primera División. Independiente Petrolero have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (2 points per game). Guabirá have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 78% and Both Teams to Score at 75%.
With a 53% probability backing Independiente Petrolero, home advantage and superior chance creation make Independiente Petrolero to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Independiente Petrolero, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 28% probability for Guabirá. Our top recommended betting pick is Independiente Petrolero Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 75% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 27 Aug 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera División.
