Ligue 1 · Friday, 04 Sep 2026
Paris Saint Germain
Home
1-2
Full time
Parc des Princes
Monaco
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.16
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.64 - 0.65
Win probability
Home
81%
Draw
11%
Away
7%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
81%
1.16
Double Chance
Home/Draw
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
80%
1.18
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
80%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.29
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Paris Saint Germain wins
0
Draws
0
Monaco wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
80%
46%
Attack
66%
53%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
81%
Win probability
7%
Home and away record
Paris Saint Germain
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Monaco
last 5 away from home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
1.40
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Paris Saint Germain | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 0% 0/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Paris Saint Germain
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
33%
Behind
50%
Monaco
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 23 |
| 7 |
Monaco |
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Paris Saint Germain face Monaco in Ligue 1. Paris Saint Germain have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). Monaco have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 80% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 81% probability backing Paris Saint Germain, home advantage and superior chance creation make Paris Saint Germain to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 81% win probability for Paris Saint Germain, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 7% probability for Monaco. Our top recommended betting pick is Paris Saint Germain Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.29 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 04 Sep 2026 at 19:05 (East Africa Time) at Parc des Princes as part of the Ligue 1.
