AfriPredictions
Queensland NPL · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Peninsula Power
Home
3-2
Full time
AJ Kelly Park
Moreton City Excelsior
Away
Our Prediction ☆☆☆☆ confidence
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45% 2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70% 1.34
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
L D L D D
0-3-2
W-D-L
7:9
Goals
0.6
PPG
W D L W L
2-1-2
W-D-L
8:10
Goals
1.4
PPG
Head-to-head
0
Peninsula Power wins
1
Draws
0
Moreton City Excelsior wins
18 Jul 2026 Moreton City Excelsior 2 - 2 Peninsula Power
Why this prediction
20% Recent form 46%
46% Attack 53%
40% Defence 33%
5% Head-to-head 5%
45% Win probability 30%
League standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
2 Pen Peninsula Power 20 13 4 3 +22 43
3 Mor Moreton City Excelsior 20 11 3 6 +17 36
Match Preview & Analysis

Peninsula Power face Moreton City Excelsior in Queensland NPL. Peninsula Power have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game). Moreton City Excelsior have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game).

In their last 1 meeting on record, Peninsula Power won 0, Moreton City Excelsior won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.

With a 45% probability backing Peninsula Power, home advantage and superior chance creation make Peninsula Power to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.

Frequently Asked Questions Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Peninsula Power, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Moreton City Excelsior. Our top recommended betting pick is Peninsula Power Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 07:00 (East Africa Time) at AJ Kelly Park as part of the Queensland NPL.
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