National 1 · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Concarneau
Home
2-2
Full time
Stade Guy Piriou
Thionville Lusitanos
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.42
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.95
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
15%
Away
66%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
66%
1.42
Double Chance
Draw/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
89%
1.06
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
82%
1.15
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
89%
Over 2.5
82%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Concarneau wins
0
Draws
0
Thionville Lusitanos wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
86%
66%
Attack
95%
60%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
66%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thi Thionville Lusitanos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 16 | Con Concarneau | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Concarneau face Thionville Lusitanos in National 1. Concarneau have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). Thionville Lusitanos have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding 5 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 89% and Both Teams to Score at 82%.
Thionville Lusitanos's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 66% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Thionville Lusitanos to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Concarneau, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 66% probability for Thionville Lusitanos. Our top recommended betting pick is Thionville Lusitanos Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 82% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 12:45 (East Africa Time) at Stade Guy Piriou as part of the National 1.
