National League - North · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Morecambe
Home
4-0
Full time
The Mazuma Stadium
Buxton
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.25 - 1.49
Win probability
Home
23%
Draw
32%
Away
45%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Draw/Away
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
26%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.74
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Morecambe wins
0
Draws
0
Buxton wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
46%
13%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
23%
Win probability
45%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bux Buxton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 24 | Mor Morecambe | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Morecambe face Buxton in National League - North. Morecambe have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 6 (0.2 points per game). Buxton have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 26% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
Buxton's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 45% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Buxton to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 23% win probability for Morecambe, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 45% probability for Buxton. Our top recommended betting pick is Buxton Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.74 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at The Mazuma Stadium as part of the National League - North.
