Premyer Liqa · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Neftchi Baku
Home
4-1
Full time
Palms Sports Arena
Safa Baku
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.01
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.93 - 0.5
Win probability
Home
93%
Draw
2%
Away
0%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
93%
1.01
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
81%
1.16
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
78%
1.21
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
81%
Over 2.5
22%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.43
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Neftchi Baku wins
0
Draws
0
Safa Baku wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
50%
80%
Attack
16%
86%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
93%
Win probability
5%
Match Preview & Analysis
Neftchi Baku face Safa Baku in Premyer Liqa. Neftchi Baku have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 2 (2.4 points per game). Safa Baku have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 1 and conceding 2 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 81% and Both Teams to Score at 22%.
With a 93% probability backing Neftchi Baku, home advantage and superior chance creation make Neftchi Baku to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 93% win probability for Neftchi Baku, a 2% chance of a draw, and a 0% probability for Safa Baku. Our top recommended betting pick is Neftchi Baku Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.43 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 22%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 16:30 (East Africa Time) at Palms Sports Arena as part of the Premyer Liqa.
